I will give you my unbiased opinion of the chances of the worlds top 10 teams to win Bill.
At no 10: Samoa
With their win over a second string Aus team before the TN they have send a warning to every team out there under estemate us and you will pay. Their game agaisnt the Boks is already sold out. BUT although they are capeble of a upset( or even two ) and with 13 Nz born players in their squad I don’t think they will have they consistancy needed to take Bill. So I’ll give them a 2/10 chance.
No 9: Argentina
In 2007 they were a real force to be recond with but in 2011 they have lost a lot of their stalwarts and with no Hernandez they will struggle. Their key game will be Scotland and I think it will be a tight one. If they prevail they will prob lose in the QF. So I’ll give them a 1.5/10 chance.
On paper a real decent team. But with poor form in the last year or so. Still with one of the worlds best centres (not self proclaimed) they must have a chance for an upset result or three. On current form can’t see them win it or even make the finals. But thats what we said about Eng in 2007. I’ll give them a 4.5/10 chance of winning.
No. 7 Scotland
A team thats always been a though opponent but never a real threat. They won the boks in 2010. But that was at Murryfield. This is Nz. They have prob one of the easiest groups with either them on Argentina going through. But can’t see them go any further. I’ll give them a 2/10 chance.
No: 6 Wales
A though team. With a very shrewd coach from Nz must count in their favour and having just beaten 6 nation champs Eng their confidence should be pretty high. Can definitely cause a few upsets. Their game agaisnt the Boks will prob define their WC. I’ll give them a 5/10 chance.
No: 5 England
The first of the real contenders. Six nation champs must count in their favour as does the fact that they prob have the easiest group and route to the final. They also have a pretty good WC record almost always going deep in the tournament and usually getting better with time. It won’t be the biggest shock if they reach the final given their route and them having one over Aus in recent times. But something tells me this is not their year. I’ll give them a 6.9/10 chance.
A rugby world cup SF regular they must be in with a real shot. Normally loves to give All Black supporters heart attacks. But with them in the same group this won’t happen this time. (ecept if they meet in the final). Their prob is consistancy to win a WC you need 3 – 4 real hard efforts and normally the french just can’t lay two big games in a row. So I’ll give them a 7/10 chance.
Current World Champions. They have a very experienced side (to experienced for some’s liking) with a lot of 2007 champions in their ranks. If all goes to plan they will meet the hosts in the semi-finals but being drawn in the group of death for this WC this is definitely not a given. They do have a lot of depth except for tight head. They will go in with a low risk high presure game plan and try to win it that way. Will it work? I don’t know so I’ll give them a 8.01/10 chance.
N0. 2 Australia
The current TN champs with 2 wins against the boks and one agaisnt the blacks under their belt. They are definitely one of the big favourites. They also have a coach born in Nz and Aus being just a stone thow away they won’t feel to home sick. Also with a relatively easy route to final it would be a surprise not to see them there. They play an expansive game and that might count against them in the final. Also have a lot of young players and not a lot of depth. So I’ll give them a 8.4/10 chance.
N0.1 New Zeeland
The bookies favourites ,the IRB’s favourites, Paddy’s favourites and with the tournament in their home country only an idiot won’t think they will have a serious chance. Well rounded team but with not so mutch dept in flyhalf, loose forward and lock positions. They are always RWC favourites but never seem to win prob because of their love affair with choking in the big games. Given all of that I’ll give them a 8.89/10 chance.
So that my unbias opinion what say you? Who will have the pleasure of entertaining Bill at their post WC dinner?