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by Baylion

Currie Cup Crunch Time

October 12, 2012 in Uncategorized

There are no dead rubbers this weekend and even though the Sharks and the Lions are assured of home semi finals their game results will have an impact on all the other teams. Only two points separate the other four teams and losses would not only end their semi final hopes but also put them in a possible promotion/relegation play-off against the EP Kings.

While no-one really expects any of these teams to really lose against the Kings in a two match play-off series, although anything is possible, it is the ignomy of finishing last that will grate, especially for the full strength Super Rugby teams, the Blue Bulls and Western Province.

Sharks vs Griquas:

With the Lions accepting a Sharks win and selecting a weakened side for their game there is even less pressure on the Sharks where any result might just be good enough. The Sharks used there returning Boks sparingly but even so, a win by Griquas is only a remote possibility.

Sharks by 12

Western Province vs Cheetahs:

This is  a real crunch match with the winner probably in the semis and the loser probably in the bottom end play-offs so, at the risk of losing team cohesion, both sides pulled in all their Boks, more so WP as they have quite a few. The risk for WP is that the returning Boks may try to revert to the Stormers game while the rest of the team has been on another wavelength altogether. The Cheetahs will give it a good college try but will fall short in the end as their defences lets them down – again, but it will be a close match.

WP by 7

Lions vs Blue Bulls:

Even though the Lions are sitting comfortably in second spot this match will determine the fate of some of the other teams. It’s really simple: if the Bulls win, they will probably move into the semis with one of the other match losers dropping into the bottom spot to face the Kings, if the Bulls lose they will finish last. The danger for the Bulls is that they cannot afford to just rock up thinking the game is won against a young Lions side (only four of the starting 15 is over 25) as these youngsters would like nothing better than prove they are good enough. However, if all goes according to expectations the Bulls should win comfortably.

Bulls by 15

And all this sets up the semi finals:

Sharks vs Bulls – Durban
Lions vs WP – Johannesburg

First Division:

EP Kings vs Pumas:

Down in PE the EP Kings face the Pumas in the First Division finals. Neither of these sides could get the better of the other during the league stages playing to a draw twice so one can expect a tight match. The Pumas had a very inconsistent campaign while the Kings were unbeaten through the league phases but have lost their captain to injury making this a tough call.

However, home ground advantage and all, the Kings should pull it off to finally win a trophy but that’s really irrelevant as they will be playing for promotion to the Premier Division anyway.

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by Baylion

Have the Lions got their mojo back?

August 29, 2012 in Uncategorized

Last week against WP the Lions started to show some fight again after having the stuffing knocked out of them by SARU and the rugby unions voting to kick them out of Super Rugby. This week they need to take it a step further and put on a convincing display against Griquas.

Griquas has been struggling to cope with the losses of key players such as Riaan Viljoen and Sarel Pretorius and have struggled to maintain more than 40 minutes of good play in a match and with the threat of potential relegation looming one can expect them to come out fighting.

Griquas has a number of ex-Lions players who would like to prove a point against the union that discarded them and they have a number of ex-Bulls players who would want to show that they are more than journeymen so the Lions just cannot afford to take it easy.

I am a bit confused with some of the changes made by Johan Ackerman this week but with two injuries (Roodt and Adriaanse) and two key players returning from injury (Rhodes and Hollenbach) some changes were expected. What wasn’t expected was the decision to move Josh Strauss to lock rather than bring in one of the u/21 locks, either Paul Willemse or Ruan Botha, but as the u/21s are struggling to convert close matches into wins the decision seems to be an effort not to disrupt them too much while using the opportunity to rotate some players as well as make space on the bench for the returning players.

The Lions backline remains the same as last week except for Ross Cronje starting in place of Michael Bondesio while up front CJ van der Linde gets a start and Martin Bezuidenhout returns to the bench after some time in the club ranks.

The changes should give the Lions a bit more mobility round the park and up the tempo even more than normal. This Lions side should have more than enough oomph to put away Griquas at Ellis Park, hopefully with a bonus point to retain their top of the log position.

An interesting match up could be that of Willie le Roux versus Andries Coetzee, two players who made the step up to Super Rugby look easy, and I would like to see JR Esterhuizen get the ball in space – man, is he quick! It is great that the Lions have pace out wide at last.

Lions by 15.

Fri, 31 Aug 2012 19:10
Coca-Cola Park, Johannesburg

Golden Lions: 15 Andries Coetzee, 14 JR Esterhuizen, 13 Lionel Mapoe, 12 Butch James, 11 Anthony Volmink, 10 Elton Jantjies, 9 Ross Cronje, 8 Warren Whiteley, 7 Willie Britz, 6 Jaco Kriel, 5 Franco van der Merwe, 4 Joshua Strauss, 3 CJ Van der Linde, 2 Bandise Maku, 1 JC Janse van Rensburg (captain).

Substitutes: 16 Martin Bezuidenhout, 17 Ruan Dreyer, 18 Michael Rhodes, 19 Cobus Grobbelaar, 20 Michael Bondesio, 21 Alwyn Hollenbach, 22 Deon Helberg.

Griquas: 15 Willie le Roux 14 Jannie Boshoff 13 Jean Stemmet 12 Walter Venter  11 Rocco Jansen 10 Francois Brummer 9 Marnus Hugo 8 Leon Karemaker 7 Wesley Wilkins 6 Marnus Schoeman 5 Martin Muller 4 Ligtoring Landman 3 Lourens Adriaanse 2  Ryno Barnes (captain) 1 Steph Roberts

Substitutes: 16 Matthew Dobson 7 Ivann Espag 18 Frikkie Spies 19 Justin Downey 20 Jacques Coetzee 21 Marnitz Boshoff 22 Matthew Rosslee