Super Rugby – Conclusions from the final round robin stage
July 16, 2012 in Uncategorized
And so the longest Super Rugby season ever is almost at an end and it took the full 18 rounds to decide who the top six is and we had a lead change in the penultimate match of the weekend. If that doesn’t excite you, going to Vegas will be a waste of time and money.
Congrats to the Stormers for finishing on top of the overall log, but more on that later.
My conclusions for this week…
1.) The Stormers’ fate is now securely in their own hands. The only permutations now left for them to ponder is winning whoever comes to Newlands to play them after next week. No trying to get onus points. No having to look at other results. Their biggest vulnerability was the fact that they didn’t score bonus point tries, but that won’t be a factor anymore. Their biggest strength is their ability to keep the opposition from scoring. If they can keep this up, they ruin my season and win this damned thing.
2.) For the third time in history, the Bulls will be heading off to Christchurch for playoff match. For umpteenth time in history, a South African team try achieve something that is yet to happen in this competition, namely the ‘Saders being beaten by a SA side in their own backyard. Not very likely.
The Bulls will definitely have my support and my Superbru pick on Saturday, but if they lose, they can look back at their home losses to the Blues and Stormers as the reason for them having to play in Christchurch on Saturday instead of sitting at home watching the Stormers do it. They had still have their fate in their own hands, but a better showing in twenty forgettable minutes out of more than 1280 could have dealt them better odds.
3.) Rules are rules, I know, but the team with the sixth most points being gifted a home playoff is just wrong! At least justice will be served when the Reds beat the Sharks and will have to go all the way to Newlands for the semi instead of hopping over to Hamilton because, if I understand the system correct, after the first knockout round the standings will be based purely on log points and not this conference crap. (With the exception of the top two conference leaders off course.)
Update: I must have mistaken the rules for what they should be and not what they currently are. The Reds have received the number ranking and they’ll keep it for as long as they stay in the competition. This means that, should the Bulls go through, their semi final destination will be decided by whoever wins in Brisbane. If the Reds win, we go to Cape Town. If the Sharks win, we go to Hamilton.
4.) We may have three teams in the playoffs, including the log leaders, but a head to head comparison will state that the overall quality of the NZ teams is much better than that of the SA sides and it was because most of of SA’s talent is playing for the top three rather than all five franchises as is the case currently in New Zealand. Another prove in point is the fact that the Blues, NZ worst side, finished on top of two Aussie sides and one SA side. All three countries, though, have enough talent to put together a decent test side and the Rugby Championship is not lost or won by any of the three Southern giants yet.
That’s it for my conclusions for this week. Saturday has the potential to be thrilling encounters, but they can just as well be one sided affairs won by the home sides. But, never the less, I am looking forward to it!
Cheers!!!
Bloues

baylion said on July 16, 2012
The Reds finished 3rd on the log so if the Reds win the Stormers play the Crusaders or the Bulls. If the Sharks win the Stormers play the Sharks.
gertbloues said on July 16, 2012
Apparently not. Topping their conference will only help the Reds this weekend. After next weekend, if they win, they become the bottom placed qualifier. This means that they’ll have to go to CT regardless of the result in Christchurch.
gertbloues said on July 16, 2012
As it turns out, I’m wrong.
http://www.sanzarrugby.com/superrugby/news/rules-for-super-rugby-finals-series-qualification-and-matches-and-super-rugby-naming-protocols/
The rules state that the Reds are currently ranked third, regardless of their amount of log points, and will stay ranked third if they go through next week. This means that the Bulls will go to Newlands next week if they win unless the Sharks beat the Reds as well.
GEN DE LA REY said on July 16, 2012
Well if the Stormers played like they have the last couple of weeks then they will struggle to beat the top teams.
I also had it like Blion that they play the lowest ranked team and not on points but I am deff not sure.
Where did you hear about that? It would be fair though.
gertbloues said on July 16, 2012
Sorry, I was wrong. See my reply to Baylion’s comment above.
Two Cents said on July 16, 2012
I think you must now just win all the games. As obvious as that sounds, thats just how it is, it doesn’t matter who you play or where. Yes, odds are always in the home teams favour and SA sides struggle against the NZ team, but to win this tournament you cant hope for an easy road to the final. this isnt the RWC.
gertbloues said on July 16, 2012
I agree, but playing in New Zealand, hopping over to Cape Town and then return to either New Zealand or Australia is a much more daunting prospect than say Playing two weeks in NZ and then hopping over either to Australia or South Africa.
But, that’s out of our hands now. We had a change to decide our own fate when we played the Blues and the Stormers and fell short on both occasions.
Met uysh said on July 16, 2012
The Sharks are in the worst spot. If the Sharks win, they fly back to cape town and if they win again, the fly back to New Zealand to play either the Saders or Chiefs, unless the Bulls beat the Crusaders and Chiefs (unlikely) in which case they will go from newlands to pretoria.
gertbloues said on July 16, 2012
That Sharks/Loftus scenario isn’t my favourite. Although it will mean the Bulls have a home final, the Sharks will be in the republic waiting for them to return from New Zealand.